My research spans: demography and demographic models, applied statistics and econometrics to financial markets, econophysics and computational methods for quantitative finance.
Journal Articles
-
José Rafael Caro-Barrera, María de los Baños García-Moreno García, Manuel Pérez Priego, “Exploring Trophy Hunting and Recreational Hunting Tourism: an Analysis from a Bibliometric Perspective (1971–2024)”, Transformation in Business and Economics 25(2 (68), 460-483, doi:
10.15388/Tibe.2026.25.2.6Analysis of scientific literature / SLNA apprach / exponential growth of scientific production / over the last 15 years -
Manuel Pérez Priego, María de los Baños García-Moreno García, Lorena Caridad López del Río and José Rafael Caro-Barrera, “Testing the Weak Form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis and the Impact of COVID-19 in LAC countries”, Revista de Estudios Andaluces (REA) n. 51 (February 2026), doi:
10.12795/rea.2026.i51Volatility surges, / markets learn faster, / drifting closer to chance. -
Manuel Pérez Priego, María de los Baños García-Moreno García, Carol A. Jara Alba and José Rafael Caro-Barrera, “Local Gastronomy As a Destination Tourist Attraction: the Case of the 'Chiringuitos' on the Costa del Sol (Spain),” International Journal of Gastronomy and Food Science vol. 34 (December 2023), doi:
10.1016/j.ijgfs.2023.100822Local gastronomy of the Costa del Sol / and its attributes, / increase the tourists' perceived value. -
José Rafael Caro-Barrera, María de los Baños García-Moreno García and Manuel Pérez Priego, “Projecting Spanish Fertility at Regional Level: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach,” PLoS One 17(10) (October 2022): 1–27, doi:
10.1371/journal.pone.0275492Prolonged economic uncertainty, / high cost of living, / lifestyle changes and work decisions, / are causing a drop in births. -
Azahara Fernández-Carbonell, Enrique Rodríguez-Guerrero, Carlos Merino-Cejas, María Teresa Conejero-Jurado, Rafael Villalba-Montoro and José Rafael Caro-Barrera, “Predictive Factors for Pulmonary Homograft Dysfunction After Ross Surgery: A 20-Year Follow-up”, The Annals of Thoracic Surgery vol. 111 (April 2021), doi:
10.1016/j.athoracsur.2020.06.032The Ross surgery for pulmonary homografts dysfunction / offer satisfactory long-term results. -
Lorena Caridad y López del Río, María de los Baños García-Moreno García, José Rafael Caro-Barrera, Manuel Adolfo Pérez Priego and Daniel Caridad y López del Río: “Moody’s Ratings Statistical Forecasting for Industrial and Retail Firms,” Economies (2021) 9, 154, doi:
10.3390/economies9040154Artificial Neural Networks methods produce / better results when working with large / datasets increasing the model's accuracy. -
José Rafael Caro-Barrera, “Insurance Options: Beating the Benchmark. Are Catastrophe Bonds more profitable than Corporate Bonds?”, Estudios de Economía Aplicada. Vol. 29(2) (Jan 2020): 3–17, doi:
10.46661/revmetodoscuanteconempresa.2978Several sources of risk may be reduced, / or at least mitigated, / with this type of instruments. -
José Rafael Caro-Barrera, “Credit Risk Models: Practical Application to a Mortgage Refinancing Model”, Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa. Vol. 28, (Dec 2019): 183–197, doi:
https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/articulo?codigo=7182058A mortgage refinancing model is presented / for cases of default risk on a mortgage where / borrowers have the possibility to minimize risks / by selecting the best refinancing option. -
José Rafael Caro-Barrera, “Statistical Physics Applications for the Valuation of Financial Assets: From the Fokker-Planck Equation to the Black-Scholes Model. Finite Difference Solution for European Put Options”, Estudios de Economía Aplicada. Vol. 37(2) (May 2019): 6–21, doi:
10.25115/eea.v37i2.2609Since the Black-Scholes equation / is modeled by a stochastic differential / equation, we can establish similarities with / some diffusion processes observed in physics.